USD/JPY Forecast & Pivot Points
USD/JPY forecast for the week of Oct 4 — the dollar to yen outlook, mapped with pivot points: weekly, monthly and yearly pivots, each with the central pivot plus the full R1–R5 / S1–S5 ladder. Last updated Oct 5, 2026.
After today's live numbers instead? USD/JPY support & resistance levels are updated through the day, with our full track record on the pair.
This week's USD/JPY forecast · week of Oct 4
The weekly pivot at 157.551 is the line in the sand for the USD/JPY exchange rate this week. Holding above it keeps the bias bullish, with R1 at 158.727 and R2 at 159.631 as the next upside targets. Losing the pivot flips the bias bearish toward S1 at 156.647, then S2 at 155.471. It's a levels-based read, not a prediction — the full ladders are below, and our alerts fire the moment price breaks or fades one of them.
R reflects alert-tracking outcomes (entry to exit relative to initial risk), not actual trading returns. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Start freeUSD/JPY Pivot Points & Support/Resistance Levels
Weekly
Valid Oct 4, 2026 – Oct 11, 2026| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| R5 | 163.157 |
| R4 | 161.982 |
| R3 | 160.807 |
| R2 | 159.631 |
| R1 | 158.727 |
| PPCentral Pivot | 157.551 |
| S1 | 156.647 |
| S2 | 155.471 |
| S3 | 154.567 |
| S4 | 153.662 |
| S5 | 152.757 |
The weekly central pivot (PP) for USD/JPY sits at 157.551. Resistance runs from 158.727 (R1) up to 163.157 (R5). Support runs from 156.647 (S1) down to 152.757 (S5). Price holding above the pivot leans bullish and tends to target the R levels; trading below it leans bearish and tends to target the S levels.
Monthly
Valid Oct 1, 2026 – Nov 1, 2026| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| R5 | 176.409 |
| R4 | 172.405 |
| R3 | 168.401 |
| R2 | 164.396 |
| R1 | 160.896 |
| PPCentral Pivot | 156.891 |
| S1 | 153.391 |
| S2 | 149.386 |
| S3 | 145.886 |
| S4 | 142.385 |
| S5 | 138.884 |
The monthly central pivot (PP) for USD/JPY sits at 156.891. Resistance runs from 160.896 (R1) up to 176.409 (R5). Support runs from 153.391 (S1) down to 138.884 (S5). Price holding above the pivot leans bullish and tends to target the R levels; trading below it leans bearish and tends to target the S levels.
Yearly
Valid Jan 1, 2026 – Jan 1, 2027| Level | Price |
|---|---|
| R3 | 182.737 |
| R2 | 170.809 |
| R1 | 163.746 |
| PPCentral Pivot | 151.818 |
| S1 | 144.755 |
| S2 | 132.827 |
| S3 | 125.764 |
The yearly central pivot (PP) for USD/JPY sits at 151.818. Resistance runs from 163.746 (R1) up to 182.737 (R3). Support runs from 144.755 (S1) down to 125.764 (S3). Price holding above the pivot leans bullish and tends to target the R levels; trading below it leans bearish and tends to target the S levels.
How to trade USD/JPY pivot points & support/resistance
Pivot points give you a pre-defined map of where USD/JPY is likely to find support and resistance before the session even opens. Three ideas do most of the work:
The bias line
The central pivot (PP) is your compass: when price trades and holds above it, USD/JPY is leaning bullish; when it trades below, bearish.
Pivot breakout
Price breaks and closes through a level (say R1) and continues toward the next one (R2). The R and S levels double as logical profit targets.
Pivot reversal
Price rejects a level and rotates back toward the pivot. The next level out is a natural place for a protective stop.
Once a level gives you the entry and stop, sizing is arithmetic: the free USD/JPY position size calculator turns your stop distance and risk % into an exact lot size, the pip value calculator shows what each pip is worth, and the live forex market hours clock tells you which session is driving the move.
These are the same USD/JPY levels our breakout alerts watch in real time — so you get notified the moment price reacts at one of them instead of staring at charts.
USD/JPY pivot points — FAQ
What is the USD/JPY forecast for this week?
Pivot analysis frames the week of Oct 4 as a two-way map rather than a one-way call: while the USD/JPY exchange rate holds above the weekly pivot at 157.551, the bias is bullish with R1 at 158.727 the first upside target; trading below the pivot tips the bias bearish toward S1 at 156.647. Levels refresh every week.
How have USD/JPY alerts performed recently?
Over the last 30 days, Breakout Alerts tracked 32 resolved USD/JPY signals with a 25% win rate for a net +4.7R, and Asian Range Breakout was the strongest strategy. R reflects alert-tracking outcomes (entry to exit vs. initial risk), not trading returns; past performance is not indicative of future results.
What are the current USD/JPY pivot points and support & resistance levels?
As of Oct 5, 2026, the weekly central pivot for USD/JPY is 157.551. Nearest resistance is R1 at 158.727 and nearest support is S1 at 156.647. The full weekly, monthly and yearly ladders are listed above.
What is a pivot point in forex trading?
A pivot point (PP) is a price level calculated from the prior period’s high, low and close. It acts as a reference for the market’s directional bias: trading above the pivot is generally read as bullish, below it as bearish. The resistance (R1–R5) and support (S1–S5) levels derived from it are used as targets and potential reversal zones.
How do I trade USD/JPY using these levels?
Common approaches are pivot breakouts (entering when price breaks and holds through a level) and pivot reversals (fading price as it rejects a level). Traders use the central pivot for bias, the R/S levels as profit targets, and place stops beyond the next level. Always combine levels with your own confirmation and risk management.
How often are these USD/JPY pivot levels updated?
We publish three pivot families: weekly levels refresh each week, monthly levels each month, and yearly levels once per year. The page updates automatically as new levels take effect.
Pivot points for other pairs
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Pivot levels are provided for educational and informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results.