A tightrope walker crossing above a trading floor, balance pole steady — the challenge trader's real problem

Preston Moore writes about forex and macro market structure, breaking down how capital moves, where key levels form, and how disciplined traders position for high-probability breakout setups.

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Alerts built for traders who can’t afford a bad day

Same alerts, same prices, same public ledger as everyone else gets. This page is just written for the account with a daily loss limit stapled to it.

By Preston MooreBreakout AlertsLedger updates hourly
The LedgerLive
2026 year to date
2,381
Closed signals
34.6%
Win rate
▲ +484.9R
Net result
Every closed signal, losses included — not a backtest. Refreshed hourly; full weekly breakdown here.

That is our whole delivered book — every signal we have sent, followed to its stop, its target or its timeout, and published with the losers left in. We put it at the top because you are about to risk a real evaluation fee on somebody’s word, and you should get to audit ours before you do.

How challenges are actually lost

Almost nobody fails an evaluation because they couldn’t find a good trade. They fail because of one afternoon. A position gets sized on feel instead of arithmetic, it goes wrong, the next one gets sized to win the first one back, and by dinner the daily loss limit has quietly closed the account. The profit target was never the hard part — the floor was.

That changes what you actually need from an alert. Not more ideas; you have plenty. What you need is every trade arriving with its risk already defined, few enough of them that you can size each one properly, and a track record you can check before you trust any of it. Those three things are what this page is about, and there is no fourth thing.

What an alert gives you here

  • A stop and a target on every one. Instrument, timeframe, direction, entry, stop, target — fired on a closed candle, never mid-bar. You can convert that into position size before you click, which is the whole game on a fixed-risk account. Our position size calculator does the arithmetic if you want it done for you.
  • Fewer alerts than you’d expect, on purpose. You choose which instruments, strategies and timeframes you hear from, so a challenge account can run deliberately narrow. We also bench whole segments of our own system when the numbers stop justifying delivery, and we publish each of those decisions in the calibration log. Signals we don’t trust don’t reach you — that is a smaller feed by design, not a thinner product.
  • You place every trade yourself. Nothing here touches your broker or your funded account. That is partly a design preference and partly the reason manual alerts sit on the right side of most firms’ rules, where copy-trading does not.
  • A record you can check first. Every closed signal, in multiples of risk, on the per-market pages and in the Weekly Recap. Free forever, because a track record you have to buy in order to inspect is called a brochure.

The numbers, including the ugly one

Here is the delivered book as of 2026-09-09, which is the same snapshot the calculator runs on:

  • 2,381 closed signals since February 2026, at a 34.6% win rate. Two out of three lose. If that number surprises you, the marketing you have been reading was not a track record.
  • Average winner +2.42R, average loser −0.97R. That ratio is the entire reason a one-in-three hit rate makes money, and it is the honest answer to “will this clear my target” — the payoff does the work, not the accuracy.
  • Longest losing streak: 30 consecutive trades. This is the ugly one, and it is the number that should decide your risk per trade. Thirty in a row is survivable at 1% and fatal at 3%. Any service that cannot tell you its worst streak is either not tracking it or not telling you.

Those are whole-book figures across everything we cover, taking every signal at equal risk — which is not how anyone should trade, and certainly not on an evaluation. It is a reference shape, not a forecast of your account. Your selection and your sizing move it far more than we do, which is why the next section hands you the tool instead of a promise.

Is this allowed by your firm?

Usually yes, with one distinction that matters: most firms permit manual alerts and prohibit copy-trading. The test they apply is whether you are the decision-maker. You are — an alert here is a notification, not an execution, and nothing we run has access to your account. But terms differ by firm and get rewritten more often than you would like, so read yours. We mapped where the line sits, firm by firm, in are signals allowed in prop firm challenges, including the account behaviors that get people disqualified for reasons unrelated to signals at all.

One thing we will not tell you: that our alerts will pass your challenge. We have no idea, nobody does, and the services that claim otherwise are describing a screenshot folder. What we offer instead is a book you can audit and a calculator that shows you where your own rules break.

Run your own limits first

Before you pay us anything, put your firm’s numbers into the free prop firm drawdown calculator. Enter your account size, your daily loss limit, your max loss and your risk per trade, and it turns them into cash figures and — more usefully — into how many full stops you can absorb before each floor stops you out. Then it replays our real signal history at your sizing, so “how bad could a week get” has an answer with a number in it.

Most traders who run it discover their risk per trade is set about a third too high for the daily limit they signed up to. That is a free thing to learn on a calculator and an expensive one to learn on an evaluation. If you want the reasoning behind the arithmetic, it is taught free in our prop firm challenge course, including the lesson on drawdown math.

Open the drawdown calculator →

What it costs

The same three plans everyone else gets — we do not run a prop-firm price. What differs between them is coverage, never signal quality:

  • 14-day trial, no card. Full Pro access — all 15 instruments, all 7 strategies, all 6 timeframes. That covers a decent slice of a typical 30-day evaluation, which is the point: test us on the account before you decide.
  • Free plan. A limited selection of instruments and strategies, same engine, no expiry. What the trial lapses into if you walk away — not a surprise charge.
  • Core, $19.99/mo. Enough if you’re trading a focused set of pairs, which most challenge accounts should be.
  • Pro, $49.99/mo. Everything, for when you want the full menu to select from.

Start the free trial →See all plans

Not trading an evaluation? Nothing here is prop-only — the same alerts, the same ledger and the same plans are described for everyone on the forex trading alerts page.

Frequently asked questions

Will these alerts get me over my profit target?

We will not claim that, and you should distrust anyone who does — nobody can promise you a pass, because the outcome depends on your sizing, your discipline and the market during your specific evaluation window. What we can tell you is the shape of the book: across 2,381 delivered signals the win rate is 34.6%, the average winner returns about 2.42 times what it risked, and the average loser costs about 0.97. That is the asymmetry you would be trading. Whether it clears your target inside 30 days is a question about variance, and the honest answer is that it sometimes will not.

How many alerts will I get per day?

Across the entire book — all 15 instruments, 7 strategies and 6 timeframes — the system averages roughly 85 signals a week, which is about 17 on a weekday. Almost nobody should run that. You pick your instruments, strategies and timeframes, so your feed is a fraction of the total, and for a challenge account a narrow selection is the point rather than a compromise. Fewer alerts you can actually size properly beats a firehose you have to ignore.

Are trading signals allowed in a prop firm challenge?

Manual alerts usually are, and copy-trading usually is not — the distinction firms care about is whether you are the one deciding and executing. Every alert here is manual by design: you receive the setup and place the trade yourself, on your own account, or you skip it. Rules vary by firm and change often, so confirm against your firm’s current terms before you rely on any tool. We wrote up where the line sits firm by firm in a separate guide.

What does a bad stretch actually look like?

The longest losing streak in our published book is 30 consecutive losing trades. That is the number worth planning around, because it is the one that ends evaluations. At 1% risk per trade a streak like that is a bruise; at 3% it is a funeral. This is exactly what the free drawdown calculator is for — it replays our real signal history against your daily limit, your max loss and your risk per trade, so you can see which of those three numbers is about to fail you.

Which plan makes sense for a challenge account?

Start on the 14-day full-access trial, because it costs nothing and it covers a meaningful slice of a typical 30-day evaluation. After that, Core at $19.99/mo is enough if you are trading a focused selection of pairs, and Pro at $49.99/mo unlocks everything if you want the full set of instruments, strategies and timeframes to choose from. The engine and the published results are identical on every plan — paying changes your coverage, not your signal quality.

Do the alerts include a stop and a target?

Yes, on every single one — instrument, timeframe, direction, entry, stop and target, fired on a closed candle. That is not a feature we added for prop traders; it is how the system has always worked, because a signal without a defined stop cannot be tracked to an outcome and therefore cannot be published honestly. It happens to be exactly what a fixed-risk account needs.

Is this financial advice?

No. These are educational, rule-based trade-signal alerts and analytics. Trading carries real risk of loss, past results do not guarantee future results, and nothing here is personalised advice or a promise about any evaluation you are trading.

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Know someone on their third evaluation fee? Send them the drawdown calculator first.