Data
What our tracked signals actually did. Every study below is built on timestamped trades with the losers left in.
Retest in Trading: What 1,446 Breakouts Say About Waiting
Failed breakouts died in 2 hours (median); winners took 11 to pay. What a retest is, why it works, and break-and-retest rules — from 1,446 tracked signals.
Win Rate vs Risk/Reward: 2,292 Tracked Trades
Our win rates run 19% to 49% — and all of them make money. Across 2,292 tracked trades, just 7% produced every dollar of profit. The full math.
What Percentage of Breakouts Fail? Data From 1,611 Signals
75.5% of 1,611 tracked breakouts failed — two-thirds fully reversed. The rates by session, timeframe and pair, and why the sample still paid +337R.
Best Time to Trade Forex: 2,173 Signals of Data
Not a timezone chart — 2,173 tracked signals: session win rates, average payoff per trade, and the session that quietly loses money.
False Breakouts: Why 3 in 4 Level Breaks Fail
Why false breakouts happen, how to spot a fakeout before it takes your stop, and the confirmation rules that beat stop hunts — from 1,611 tracked signals.
Best Timeframe for Breakout Trading? What the Data Says (M15–D1)
M15, H1, H4 or daily? In 1,569 tracked breakout signals, H1 paid +0.63R per trade while M15 sat at breakeven. The real trade-offs — and the verdict.
Mean Reversion Strategy (48-Hour Edge)
Why this pivot-based mean reversion model works so well and why we evaluate outcomes within 48 hours (avg ~78% win rate).