Weekly recap — Jun 29 – Jul 3, 2026

Tough week with heavy losses despite a strong breakout trade

This week delivered a net -9.03 R over 28 signals, with just 21% winners. The breakout strategy dominated the count with 21 trades but ended down -4.86 R overall. Liquidity sweep was the best strategy in terms of net R, though still negative at -1 R.

Total R
-9.03R
28 signals
Signals
28
6W · 22L
Win Rate
21%
Top Strategy
Liquidity Sweep
Best net R
Trade of the Week
USD/CADLONG
Breakout · H1
+4.31R

The top trade was a long breakout on USD/CAD in the H1 timeframe, which added +4.31 R. Breakout trades aim to capture momentum moves following key levels, and this one successfully ran to a solid R multiple over a two-day span.

Strategy Spotlight

Liquidity sweeps, though only one trade this week, showed the smallest loss at -1 R. This strategy typically works by identifying stop-hunt moves that trigger liquidity runs, offering opportunities for sharp reversals or continuations when timed well.

Liquidity Sweep-1.00R1
Mean Reversion-1.00R1
Asian Range Breakout-2.17R5
Breakout-4.86R21
Keeping It Honest

The week was challenging with 22 losing signals out of 28, highlighting the importance of discipline and patience. Sticking to the plan despite setbacks remains crucial for long-term success.

On the Watchlist Next Week
USD/JPYLong bias — BoJ maintains dovish stance while US yields rise, supporting USD strength and clear breakout momentum in USD/JPY.
GBP/USDLong bias — Bank of England signals possible hikes, supporting pound, though mixed UK data suggests limited breakout strength; prefer long bias with caution.
EUR/USDShort bias — Eurozone PMI slows and ECB steps back on tightening, while US data remains robust, favoring EUR/USD downside continuation.
2 more setups on this week's watchlist.Unlock the full watchlist

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Breakout Alerts provides educational market alerts only and does not provide investment advice. R values reflect alert-tracking outcomes (entry to exit relative to initial risk), not actual trading returns. Trading involves risk.