Tough week with heavy losses despite a standout liquidity sweep trade
The week ended with a net -0.39 R across 20 signals, hitting a 20% win rate. Most strategies struggled, notably the Asian Range Breakout, which lost -7 R over 7 trades. Despite the red week, August is still positive at +0.41 R after 21 signals, and 2026 remains well ahead at +434.39 R over 2257 signals.
August month-to-date: +0.41R·2026 YTD: +434.39R(2257 signals)
The trade of the week was a long liquidity sweep on NZD/USD on the 15-minute timeframe that ran to +7.04 R. Liquidity sweeps aim to trigger stops or liquidity pools before reversing, and this large R reflects a clean, strong execution of that setup.
Every setup we called this week — entry, stop, target, and how it closed. Winners and losers, no cherry-picking. (✓ hit target · ✗ stopped out)
| Instrument | Dir | Setup | Entry | Stop | Target | Exit | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NZD/USD | LONG | Liquidity Sweep · M15 | 0.58545 | 0.58472 | 0.59059 | 0.59059 | +7.04R✓ |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 4,060.815 | 4,068.4 | 4,043.04 | 4,068.4 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/CHF | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · H4 | 0.80868 | 0.80534 | 0.8207 | 0.8074 | -0.38R· |
| GBP/USD | LONG | Liquidity Sweep · M15 | 1.34614 | 1.34544 | 1.35134 | 1.34544 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | SHORT | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 1.34548 | 1.34606 | 1.34151 | 1.34606 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/USD | SHORT | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 1.15228 | 1.15266 | 1.14942 | 1.15266 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/USD | LONG | Breakout · M15 | 1.15118 | 1.15081 | 1.15611 | 1.15081 | -1.00R✗ |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · H1 | 4,052.56 | 4,065.535 | 4,019.24 | 4,065.535 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/JPY | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 181.656 | 181.518 | 182.072 | 181.518 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/JPY | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 157.814 | 157.732 | 158.279 | 157.732 | -1.00R✗ |
| XAG/USD (Silver) | SHORT | Mean Reversion · M15 | 58.9175 | 59.1587 | 57.81585 | 59.1587 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/JPY | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 182.039 | 181.984 | 182.468 | 181.984 | -1.00R✗ |
| XAG/USD (Silver) | SHORT | Mean Reversion · M15 | 61.212 | 61.4308 | 60.4026 | 61.4308 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/JPY | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 157.861 | 157.812 | 158.072 | 157.812 | -1.00R✗ |
| WTI/USD (Crude Oil) | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 76.544 | 77.213 | 75.243 | 77.213 | -1.00R✗ |
| US100 (Nasdaq 100) | LONG | Mean Reversion · M15 | 29,352.2 | 29,286.06534 | 29,626.53312 | 29,626.53312 | +4.15R✓ |
| XAG/USD (Silver) | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 61.1835 | 60.8455 | 61.9025 | 61.9025 | +2.13R✓ |
| US500 (S&P 500) | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 7,719.6 | 7,703.0997 | 7,747.1 | 7,747.1 | +1.67R✓ |
| US500 (S&P 500) | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 7,714.4 | 7,719.6003 | 7,705.2 | 7,719.6003 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/JPY | SHORT | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 212.826 | 212.906 | 212.5 | 212.906 | -1.00R✗ |
| Net · 4W / 16L · 20% win | -0.39R | ||||||
Liquidity sweeps stood out this week with a net +6.04 R from just 2 trades. This strategy tends to work because it targets areas where price is likely to hunt stops or liquidity before reversing sharply, offering high R opportunities when it hits.
Most strategies underperformed, especially the Asian Range Breakout and EMA 200 Reclaim. The low 20% win rate and overall negative R remind us that discipline in trade selection and risk management remains critical during tough stretches.