Tough week overall but EMA 200 Reclaim showed strong edge with solid wins
The week ended with a net -3.93R across 34 signals, hitting a 20.59% win rate. While most strategies struggled, EMA 200 Reclaim stood out with a +4.13R net from 17 trades. The majority of losses stemmed from Breakout and Asian Range Breakout setups.
The trade of the week was a long GBP/USD on the H4 timeframe using the EMA 200 Reclaim strategy, which ran to +4.63R. This strategy capitalizes on price reclaiming the EMA 200 level, signaling a potential trend continuation or reversal, and this particular setup executed perfectly within that framework.
Every setup we called this week — entry, stop, target, and how it closed. Winners and losers, no cherry-picking. (✓ hit target · ✗ stopped out)
| Instrument | Dir | Setup | Entry | Stop | Target | Exit | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 184.972 | 185.146 | 184.545 | 185.146 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/JPY | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 185.206 | 185.066 | 185.627 | 185.066 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/JPY | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 185.204 | 185.066 | 185.627 | 185.066 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 1.33932 | 1.33894 | 1.3415 | 1.33894 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 1.33932 | 1.33894 | 1.3415 | 1.33894 | -1.00R✗ |
| AUD/USD | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 0.69406 | 0.69448 | 0.6924 | 0.69448 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/JPY | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 162.054 | 161.941 | 162.356 | 162.356 | +2.67R✓ |
| GBP/USD | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 1.33936 | 1.34022 | 1.33744 | 1.33744 | +2.23R✓ |
| EUR/JPY | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 185.064 | 184.994 | 185.351 | 184.994 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | Mean Reversion · M15 | 1.33804 | 1.33655 | 1.34133 | 1.33655 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/CAD | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 1.41554 | 1.41632 | 1.41314 | 1.41314 | +3.08R✓ |
| EUR/JPY | SHORT | Breakout · M15 | 184.884 | 184.994 | 184.42267 | 184.994 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/JPY | SHORT | Breakout · M15 | 184.9 | 185.01 | 184.42267 | 185.01 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · H4 | 1.33594 | 1.33394 | 1.34519 | 1.34519 | +4.63R✓ |
| AUD/USD | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 0.6933 | 0.69418 | 0.6913 | 0.69418 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/JPY | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 185.007 | 184.958 | 185.19 | 184.958 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/JPY | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 185.007 | 184.958 | 185.19 | 184.958 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 1.33746 | 1.3367 | 1.33946 | 1.3367 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 1.33748 | 1.3367 | 1.33946 | 1.3367 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 1.33742 | 1.33841 | 1.33514 | 1.33841 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/JPY | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 217 | 216.892 | 217.41 | 216.892 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/JPY | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 162.164 | 162.278 | 161.606 | 162.278 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 1.33826 | 1.33652 | 1.34438 | 1.34438 | +3.52R✓ |
| USD/JPY | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 162.142 | 162.22 | 161.966 | 162.22 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/USD | SHORT | Asian Range Breakout · H1 | 1.14234 | 1.1427 | 1.14072 | 1.1427 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/USD | SHORT | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 1.14219 | 1.1427 | 1.14072 | 1.14072 | +2.88R✓ |
| USD/CAD | SHORT | Breakout · M15 | 1.40462 | 1.40512 | 1.40242 | 1.40512 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/CAD | SHORT | Breakout · M15 | 1.40462 | 1.40512 | 1.40242 | 1.40512 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/JPY | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · H1 | 162.158 | 162.033 | 162.424 | 162.033 | -1.00R✗ |
| AUD/USD | LONG | Breakout · M15 | 0.69999 | 0.69948 | 0.70222 | 0.69948 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/CHF | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 0.80758 | 0.80852 | 0.80555 | 0.80852 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/CHF | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · H1 | 0.80796 | 0.80916 | 0.8034 | 0.80916 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/JPY | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 218.64 | 218.534 | 218.95 | 218.534 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/JPY | SHORT | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 218.4 | 218.488 | 218.043 | 218.043 | +4.06R✓ |
| Net · 7W / 27L · 21% win | -3.93R | ||||||
EMA 200 Reclaim was the standout strategy, producing a net +4.13R over 17 trades. This style works by identifying when price reclaims a key moving average, often signaling renewed directional momentum, which can lead to high R multiples when timed correctly.
Most strategies struggled this week, leading to a low 20.59% win rate and a net negative result. Staying disciplined through these drawdowns and focusing on the proven EMA 200 Reclaim edge will be key moving forward.