The Dossier — Sep 13 – 18, 2026

EMA 200 Reclaim strategy drives a strong +7.15R week

This week delivered a solid +7.15R across 20 signals with a 35% win rate. The EMA 200 Reclaim strategy stood out, contributing +10.77R from 12 trades. September is shaping up well with +17.32R month-to-date and 491.2R accumulated year-to-date.

Total R
+7.15R
20 signals
Signals
20
7W · 13L
Win Rate
35%
Top Strategy
EMA 200 Reclaim
Best net R

September month-to-date: +17.32R·2026 YTD: +491.20R(2407 signals)

Trade of the Week
XAU/USD (Gold)SHORT
EMA 200 Reclaim · M15
+4.28R

The trade of the week was a short on XAU/USD using the EMA 200 Reclaim strategy on the 15-minute timeframe, which ran to +4.28R. This setup leverages the price reclaiming the EMA 200 as a signal of directional bias, capturing a strong move over several sessions.

The Ledger — every signal, on the record

Every setup we called this week — entry, stop, target, and how it closed. Winners and losers, no cherry-picking. (✓ hit target · ✗ stopped out)

InstrumentDirSetupEntryStopTargetExitR
USD/JPYLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H4154.172152.62241157.27117154.999+0.53R·
GBP/USDSHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M151.352341.353421.34811.3481+3.93R✓
XAU/USD (Gold)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M154,361.354,377.5454,292.114,292.11+4.28R✓
GBP/JPYSHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M15208.066208.238207.457208.238-1.00R✗
WTI/USD (Crude Oil)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M15101.757100.771105.221105.221+3.51R✓
US30 (Dow)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M1552,441.452,401.399752,66252,401.3997-1.00R✗
GBP/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · M15208.921208.838209.266208.838-1.00R✗
US500 (S&P 500)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M157,6147,627.20037,574.27,574.2+3.02R✓
NZD/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H10.574840.573320.577880.57332-1.00R✗
NZD/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H40.574440.573030.577250.57303-1.00R✗
WTI/USD (Crude Oil)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M15103.834103.538105.13103.538-1.00R✗
GBP/USDLONGMean Reversion · M151.345941.344571.347991.34457-1.00R✗
AUD/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · M150.710580.709030.713680.70903-1.00R✗
XAU/USD (Gold)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M154,300.4154,318.594,235.1654,318.59-1.00R✗
US500 (S&P 500)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M157,603.87,610.60037,519.37,610.6003-1.00R✗
EUR/JPYLONGMean Reversion · M15178.806178.67179.057179.057+1.85R✓
XAU/USD (Gold)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · H14,351.644,381.3654,235.1654,381.365-1.00R✗
XAU/USD (Gold)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · H14,348.554,360.6254,258.934,360.625-1.00R✗
GBP/USDSHORTAsian Range Breakout · M151.335481.335821.333741.33582-1.00R✗
XAU/USD (Gold)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M154,353.684,342.684,387.034,387.03+3.03R✓
Net · 7W / 13L · 35% win+7.15R
Strategy Spotlight

EMA 200 Reclaim was the standout strategy, delivering +10.77R over 12 trades. This approach generally works by identifying when price reclaims a key moving average, signaling potential momentum continuation or reversal that traders can exploit with favorable risk-reward.

EMA 200 Reclaim+10.77R12
Mean Reversion+0.85R2
Asian Range Breakout-2.00R2
Pivot Extreme Fade-2.47R4
On the Watchlist Next Week
USD/JPYLong bias — Strong US economic data and hawkish Fed stance support continued USD strength amid clear bullish momentum, ideal for pivot breakout continuation.
GBP/USDLong bias — BoE's recent rate hike and improving UK inflation underpin GBP strength, combined with fresh technical breakouts indicating sustained rally.
EUR/CHFLong bias — Swiss franc stable amid steady SNB outlook; EUR supported by mild ECB hawkish tone suggests moderate upside continuation risk.
2 more setups on this week's watchlist.Unlock the full watchlist

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Breakout Alerts provides educational market alerts only and does not provide investment advice. R values reflect alert-tracking outcomes (entry to exit relative to initial risk), not actual trading returns. Trading involves risk.