The Dossier — Aug 23 – 28, 2026

EMA 200 Reclaim powers a strong week with +25.91R across 25 signals

This week delivered a solid +25.91R from 25 signals with a 52% win rate. The standout EMA 200 Reclaim strategy contributed +26.57R over 11 trades, driving most of the week’s gains. August now sits at +39.66R through 110 signals, with the year-to-date tally reaching +473.65R from 2346 signals.

Total R
+25.91R
25 signals
Signals
25
13W · 12L
Win Rate
52%
Top Strategy
EMA 200 Reclaim
Best net R

August month-to-date: +39.66R·2026 YTD: +473.65R(2346 signals)

Trade of the Week
US30 (Dow)LONG
EMA 200 Reclaim · M15
+5.12R

The trade of the week was a long EMA 200 Reclaim setup on US30 (Dow) on the 15-minute timeframe, which ran to +5.12R. This strategy capitalizes on price reclaiming the 200-period EMA as a signal for sustained directional momentum, and this trade exemplified that edge with a clear entry and exit within a short timeframe.

The Ledger — every signal, on the record

Every setup we called this week — entry, stop, target, and how it closed. Winners and losers, no cherry-picking. (✓ hit target · ✗ stopped out)

InstrumentDirSetupEntryStopTargetExitR
EUR/JPYSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H4185.564186.1354184.4212185.815-0.44R·
GBP/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H11.365521.36811.360361.36036+2.00R
GBP/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H41.364341.368531.355961.3584+1.42R·
USD/CADSHORTWeekend Gap Fill · M151.38161.386431.376691.38643-1.00R
GBP/JPYLONGWeekend Gap Fill · M15216.746216.626216.938216.626-1.00R
GBP/USDLONGWeekend Gap Fill · M151.363281.362241.364541.36454+1.21R
USD/CHFSHORTBreakout · M150.802440.803190.801170.80117+1.69R
WTI/USD (Crude Oil)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M1586.48786.7985.52385.523+3.18R
US30 (Dow)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · H153,39153,477.000353,007.653,477.0003-1.00R
EUR/USDLONGMean Reversion · M151.165981.164641.168361.16464-1.00R
XAG/USD (Silver)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M1568.6368.281569.9269.92+3.70R
WTI/USD (Crude Oil)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M1586.40686.68485.52585.525+3.17R
GBP/USDLONGAsian Range Breakout · M151.364141.363761.365611.36376-1.00R
XAG/USD (Silver)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M1568.562568.3496569.29869.298+3.46R
NZD/USDLONGBreakout · H10.594320.59390.601850.5939-1.00R
US30 (Dow)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · H153,46153,382.999753,715.853,715.8+3.27R
NZD/USDLONGBreakout · H10.594360.593950.601850.59395-1.00R
XAU/USD (Gold)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M154,618.254,625.444,584.194,625.44-1.00R
EUR/JPYLONGBreakout · M15185.642185.532185.872185.532-1.00R
NZD/USDLONGBreakout · H10.594320.593780.595110.59511+1.46R
USD/JPYLONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M15159.27159.2159.529159.529+3.70R
US30 (Dow)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M1553,544.853,519.399753,674.853,674.8+5.12R
US30 (Dow)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M1553,561.353,527.299753,696.453,696.4+3.97R
USD/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · M15159.574159.52159.784159.52-1.00R
WTI/USD (Crude Oil)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · H183.74284.04581.36284.045-1.00R
Net · 13W / 12L · 52% win+25.91R
Strategy Spotlight

EMA 200 Reclaim stood out again this week, delivering +26.57R across 11 signals. This strategy works by identifying when price recaptures the 200 EMA, often signaling a strong continuation move. Its consistent edge is rooted in momentum confirmation, filtering out weaker setups and capturing sustained trends.

EMA 200 Reclaim+26.57R11
Pivot Extreme Fade+2.98R3
Breakout+0.15R5
Weekend Gap Fill-0.79R3
Mean Reversion-1.00R1
Asian Range Breakout-2.00R2
On the Watchlist Next Week
EUR/USDShort bias — ECB signals potential pause while US tightening continues, combined with weak Eurozone inflation data suggesting downward breakout momentum.
USD/JPYLong bias — BoJ maintains ultra-loose policy while US yields rise, supporting USD strength and favorable pivot breakouts with strong continuation potential.
GBP/USDTwo-way watch — Mixed UK inflation and PMI create uncertainty; volatility present but direction unclear, allowing for breakout continuation in either direction.
2 more setups on this week's watchlist.Unlock the full watchlist

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Breakout Alerts provides educational market alerts only and does not provide investment advice. R values reflect alert-tracking outcomes (entry to exit relative to initial risk), not actual trading returns. Trading involves risk.