The Dossier — Aug 16 – 21, 2026

Asian Range Breakout leads a strong 12.08R week on solid signals volume

This week delivered a solid total of +12.08R across 36 signals, despite a sub-40% win rate. The standout was the Asian Range Breakout strategy, which contributed +9.57R from 9 trades. August is showing steady progress with +1.06R month-to-date over 80 signals, building on a robust +435.04R year-to-date across 2316 signals.

Total R
+12.08R
36 signals
Signals
36
14W · 22L
Win Rate
39%
Top Strategy
Asian Range Breakout
Best net R

August month-to-date: +1.06R·2026 YTD: +435.04R(2316 signals)

Trade of the Week
EUR/JPYLONG
Asian Range Breakout · H1
+8.83R

The trade of the week was a long Asian Range Breakout on EUR/JPY at the H1 timeframe, which ran to +8.83R. This strategy typically captures momentum following the Asian session consolidation, and this example demonstrated a textbook breakout and sustained move that delivered a high R multiple within a single trading day.

The Ledger — every signal, on the record

Every setup we called this week — entry, stop, target, and how it closed. Winners and losers, no cherry-picking. (✓ hit target · ✗ stopped out)

InstrumentDirSetupEntryStopTargetExitR
NZD/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H40.585460.581560.593260.58911+0.94R·
US30 (Dow)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · H153,734.653,679.199754,074.253,679.1997-1.00R✗
GBP/JPYSHORTWeekend Gap Fill · M15215.729215.886215.618215.618+0.71R✓
USD/CHFLONGWeekend Gap Fill · M150.812060.811130.813410.81341+1.45R✓
USD/CADLONGMean Reversion · M151.385161.383391.388961.38896+2.15R✓
NZD/USDSHORTMean Reversion · M150.590850.59240.588090.58809+1.78R✓
EUR/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · M15184.887184.822185.138184.822-1.00R✗
AUD/USDLONGMean Reversion · M150.707340.705930.709410.70941+1.47R✓
GBP/USDLONGAsian Range Breakout · M151.356081.355511.358961.35551-1.00R✗
EUR/USDLONGAsian Range Breakout · M151.160221.159581.162441.16244+3.47R✓
EUR/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · M15184.702184.66184.888184.66-1.00R✗
GBP/USDLONGAsian Range Breakout · H11.355821.355511.358961.35551-1.00R✗
GBP/JPYSHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M15215.759215.904215.234215.234+3.62R✓
GBP/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H11.360881.36371.355231.3637-1.00R✗
USD/CHFLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H10.801480.797790.808870.79779-1.00R✗
EUR/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H11.166331.168251.162491.16825-1.00R✗
EUR/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · M151.166331.168091.162821.16809-1.00R✗
GBP/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H41.361021.363971.355131.36397-1.00R✗
USD/CADLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H11.380841.379621.383281.37962-1.00R✗
EUR/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H41.167291.169081.163721.16908-1.00R✗
EUR/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · M15185.25185.209185.73185.209-1.00R✗
GBP/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · M15215.946215.878216.59215.878-1.00R✗
EUR/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · H1185.262185.209185.73185.73+8.83R✓
AUD/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · M150.712760.713510.711260.71126+2.00R✓
AUD/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H10.712320.713610.709750.71361-1.00R✗
USD/JPYSHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M15158.755158.934158.202158.934-1.00R✗
NZD/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H40.594180.597090.588360.59709-1.00R✗
AUD/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H40.711280.713980.705880.71398-1.00R✗
EUR/JPYLONGBreakout · H1185.876185.696187.209185.696-1.00R✗
GBP/USDLONGAsian Range Breakout · M151.36571.365261.367141.36714+3.27R✓
AUD/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · M150.715880.71690.713840.7169-1.00R✗
AUD/USDSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H10.715880.71690.713840.7169-1.00R✗
USD/CADLONGPivot Extreme Fade · M151.374181.373211.376121.37612+2.00R✓
USD/CADLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H11.374591.372851.376871.37687+1.31R✓
USD/CADLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H41.374591.372481.376871.37687+1.08R✓
USD/JPYSHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M15158.83158.912158.354158.912-1.00R✗
Net · 14W / 22L · 39% win+12.08R
Strategy Spotlight

Asian Range Breakout stood out this week with a net +9.57R from 9 trades, the best performing strategy by far. This approach works by identifying and trading breakouts from the Asian session range, leveraging the liquidity and volatility shifts that often follow. Its edge lies in capturing strong directional moves early, which proved consistent and high R multiple this week.

Asian Range Breakout+9.57R9
Mean Reversion+5.40R3
Weekend Gap Fill+2.16R2
EMA 200 Reclaim+0.62R4
Breakout-1.00R1
Pivot Extreme Fade-4.67R17
On the Watchlist Next Week
EUR/USDShort bias — ECB hints at slowing hikes amid rising US rates and strong dollar trend, favoring a smooth EUR/USD downside breakout.
USD/JPYLong bias — BoJ maintains hawkish stance, US yields rise, and risk-on sentiment supports a clean USD/JPY breakout continuation.
GBP/USDTwo-way watch — UK inflation steady but UK political uncertainty may cause choppiness; however, breakout setups on both sides remain viable.
2 more setups on this week's watchlist.Unlock the full watchlist

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Breakout Alerts provides educational market alerts only and does not provide investment advice. R values reflect alert-tracking outcomes (entry to exit relative to initial risk), not actual trading returns. Trading involves risk.