The Dossier — Sep 20 – 25, 2026

Asian Range Breakouts Drive a Strong +10.12R Week

This week delivered a solid net +10.12R across 29 signals despite a modest 24% win rate. The standout Asian Range Breakout strategy contributed +25.37R over 6 trades, offsetting losses from other approaches. September has now reached +27.46R over 85 signals, building on a robust 501.34R year-to-date.

Total R
+10.12R
29 signals
Signals
29
7W · 22L
Win Rate
24%
Top Strategy
Asian Range Breakout
Best net R

September month-to-date: +27.46R·2026 YTD: +501.34R(2436 signals)

Trade of the Week
EUR/USDSHORT
Asian Range Breakout · M15
+8.00R

The trade of the week was a short on EUR/USD using the Asian Range Breakout on the 15-minute timeframe. It ran to +8R, exemplifying how this strategy capitalizes on early session range breaks for sharp directional moves. The execution and timing captured a strong momentum shift within hours.

The Ledger — every signal, on the record

Every setup we called this week — entry, stop, target, and how it closed. Winners and losers, no cherry-picking. (✓ hit target · ✗ stopped out)

InstrumentDirSetupEntryStopTargetExitR
USD/JPYSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H4156.796158.30313153.78173158.30313-1.00R✗
AUD/USDLONGWeekend Gap Fill · M150.711450.710220.71250.7125+0.85R✓
GBP/JPYLONGWeekend Gap Fill · M15210.038209.84210.136210.136+0.49R✓
XAG/USD (Silver)LONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M1566.04165.9166.92165.91-1.00R✗
USD/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · M15157.708157.648158.075157.648-1.00R✗
USD/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · H1157.738157.648158.075157.648-1.00R✗
USD/JPYLONGEMA 200 Reclaim · M15157.204157.084157.778157.084-1.00R✗
USD/JPYLONGBreakout · M15157.204157.114157.693157.114-1.00R✗
XAG/USD (Silver)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M1565.682566.042564.567566.0425-1.00R✗
EUR/USDSHORTAsian Range Breakout · M151.142221.142541.139661.13966+8.00R✓
GBP/USDSHORTAsian Range Breakout · M151.330421.331171.327591.32759+3.77R✓
USD/CADSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · M151.409261.410941.40591.41094-1.00R✗
USD/CADSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H11.409481.411011.406421.41101-1.00R✗
USD/CADLONGBreakout · H11.410441.409421.41881.40942-1.00R✗
AUD/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · M150.703220.70230.705060.7023-1.00R✗
GBP/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · M151.323781.321991.327371.32199-1.00R✗
AUD/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H10.704210.702130.708360.70213-1.00R✗
GBP/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H11.325281.321641.332551.32164-1.00R✗
EUR/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H11.13841.136491.142211.13649-1.00R✗
USD/CADLONGBreakout · H11.410661.410021.41881.41002-1.00R✗
GBP/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H41.324181.321281.329991.32128-1.00R✗
USD/CADSHORTPivot Extreme Fade · H41.410421.412041.407181.41204-1.00R✗
EUR/USDLONGPivot Extreme Fade · H41.13841.136131.142931.13613-1.00R✗
GBP/JPYSHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · M15209.709209.913208.777209.913-1.00R✗
USD/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · M15158.49158.449158.81158.81+7.80R✓
USD/JPYLONGAsian Range Breakout · H1158.49158.449158.81158.81+7.80R✓
USD/CHFSHORTMean Reversion · M150.827240.828770.824080.82877-1.00R✗
EUR/JPYLONGEMA 200 Reclaim · H1180.126179.96180.859179.96-1.00R✗
XAG/USD (Silver)SHORTEMA 200 Reclaim · H164.735565.103563.4815563.48155+3.41R✓
Net · 7W / 22L · 24% win+10.12R
Strategy Spotlight

Asian Range Breakout was the clear standout strategy this week, delivering +25.37R from just 6 trades. This approach tends to work well by targeting liquidity sweeps and early volatility as markets establish directional bias after the Asian session, allowing for high-R opportunities.

Asian Range Breakout+25.37R6
Weekend Gap Fill+1.34R2
Mean Reversion-1.00R1
EMA 200 Reclaim-1.59R6
Breakout-3.00R3
Pivot Extreme Fade-11.00R11
On the Watchlist Next Week
USD/JPYLong bias — US yield increases and BOJ maintaining ultra-loose policy create strong carry advantage favoring USD/JPY upside continuation for breakout strategy.
EUR/USDShort bias — ECB hawkish signals combined with disappointing eurozone economic data support bearish breakout continuation on EUR/USD.
AUD/USDLong bias — Commodity prices rising and improving global risk sentiment underpin AUD strength, favoring bullish pivot breakout continuation.
2 more setups on this week's watchlist.Unlock the full watchlist

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Breakout Alerts provides educational market alerts only and does not provide investment advice. R values reflect alert-tracking outcomes (entry to exit relative to initial risk), not actual trading returns. Trading involves risk.