Asian Range Breakout leads a strong week with 4.71R across 16 signals
This week delivered a solid net 4.71R from 16 signals despite a 37.5% win rate, highlighting the value of selective entries. The Asian Range Breakout strategy stood out with a 4.11R contribution from a single trade. September is shaping up nicely with 10.18R over 36 signals so far, adding to a strong 484.06R year-to-date from 2387 signals.
September month-to-date: +10.18R·2026 YTD: +484.06R(2387 signals)
The trade of the week was a short on US500 using the EMA 200 Reclaim strategy on the 15-minute timeframe, which ran to +5.9R. This setup typically capitalizes on price reclaiming the 200 EMA, signaling a potential reversal or continuation that offers a clear edge and defined risk. The quick 30-minute execution demonstrates the strategy’s efficiency in capturing short-term momentum shifts.
Every setup we called this week — entry, stop, target, and how it closed. Winners and losers, no cherry-picking. (✓ hit target · ✗ stopped out)
| Instrument | Dir | Setup | Entry | Stop | Target | Exit | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | LONG | Weekend Gap Fill · M15 | 156.094 | 155.762 | 156.254 | 156.254 | +0.48R✓ |
| EUR/JPY | LONG | Weekend Gap Fill · M15 | 181.255 | 180.886 | 181.474 | 181.474 | +0.59R✓ |
| GBP/JPY | LONG | Weekend Gap Fill · M15 | 210.971 | 210.574 | 211.218 | 211.218 | +0.62R✓ |
| US30 (Dow) | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · H4 | 53,209.5 | 53,145.9997 | 53,758.4 | 53,145.9997 | -1.00R✗ |
| US500 (S&P 500) | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · H1 | 7,704.6 | 7,698.1997 | 7,756.6 | 7,698.1997 | -1.00R✗ |
| XAG/USD (Silver) | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · H1 | 66.3365 | 66.769 | 64.7445 | 66.769 | -1.00R✗ |
| XAG/USD (Silver) | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 66.228 | 65.9445 | 67.1895 | 65.9445 | -1.00R✗ |
| US500 (S&P 500) | SHORT | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 7,704.4 | 7,708.4003 | 7,680.8 | 7,680.8 | +5.90R✓ |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · H4 | 4,381.64 | 4,340.955 | 4,510.93 | 4,340.955 | -1.00R✗ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | Breakout · H1 | 1.35594 | 1.35516 | 1.36016 | 1.35516 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/USD | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 1.16265 | 1.16189 | 1.16494 | 1.16494 | +3.01R✓ |
| GBP/USD | LONG | Breakout · H1 | 1.35624 | 1.35556 | 1.36016 | 1.35556 | -1.00R✗ |
| XAU/USD (Gold) | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 4,401.7 | 4,394.625 | 4,434.175 | 4,394.625 | -1.00R✗ |
| USD/JPY | LONG | EMA 200 Reclaim · M15 | 154.094 | 153.929 | 154.601 | 153.929 | -1.00R✗ |
| EUR/USD | SHORT | Asian Range Breakout · M15 | 1.15992 | 1.16027 | 1.15848 | 1.15848 | +4.11R✓ |
| USD/CHF | SHORT | Mean Reversion · M15 | 0.81524 | 0.81698 | 0.81226 | 0.81698 | -1.00R✗ |
| Net · 6W / 10L · 38% win | +4.71R | ||||||
The Asian Range Breakout strategy was the clear standout, generating 4.11R from just one trade. This approach usually works well by targeting breakouts from the early Asian session range, which often leads to strong momentum moves as liquidity gets swept and stops are triggered. Its effectiveness this week underscores the value of patience and precision in timing breakout entries.